The Tenancy Deposit Scheme

June 30th, 2010

TDS Moving Ahead

The wide ranging review carried out by the Tenancy Deposit Scheme since the beginning of the year has led to improved methods for resolving tenancy deposit disputes. These, coupled to the return of a small number of external adjudicators, have already achieved a rate of over 80% of all disputes being resolved within four weeks. As a result of these changes, 1,123 disputes were resolved in May and 1,582 had already been resolved by the time of the June Board meeting last week.

The successful speed up in dispute resolution comes from new methods that ensure that the way cases are examined is proportionate to their complexity and value, instead of using the one-size-fits-all methods of before.  This has led directly to the improvement in the quality and quantity of adjudication and has helped with monitoring the consistency of our decision making,” said Michael Morgan, Acting Head of Adjudication at TDS.

The new methods and the results will be subject to audit in the autumn.

Together with the new methods for dispute resolution, the return to using external adjudicators to back-up the in-house team provides extra dedicated and flexible resources. This enables TDS  to meet the constant variations in demand on the system and is expected to ensure the continuing efficiency of dispute resolution.                                                                                               

The TDS Board also heard that decisions about a new Chief Executive and the User Group should be finalised by the end of the summer.

 “I think the first months of this financial year have been very productive and auger well for cost effectiveness, user satisfaction and the future of the Tenancy Deposit Scheme,” commented Chairman Martin Partington.

House prices continue to rise, says Nationwide

December 1st, 2009

 

Houses
House prices have been rising steadily in recent months

UK house prices have risen for the seventh consecutive month, helped by better-than-expected news from the job market, the Nationwide has said.

The building society said that the average home increased in value by 0.5% in November compared with October and now costs £162,764.

The typical home was 2.7% more expensive than a year ago, at a similar level to prices in early 2006.

Separate figures show that mortgage lenders’ deposit demands are easing.

Slowing rate

The Nationwide said that the three-month on three-month rate of increase had slowed from 3.5% in October to 2.8% in November.

 

House price graph

This measure is generally seen as a truer picture of the market as it cuts out any short-term volatility.

“This suggests that house prices are now rising at a more moderate pace than in the spring and summer months, when they experienced a very strong bounce from the early 2009 lows,” said Nationwide chief economist Martin Gahbauer.

But overall there has been some surprise that prices have continued to rise steadily in the recession, with Mr Gahbauer pointing to unemployment figures as a key factor.

“The outlook for the housing market remains crucially dependent on labour market conditions, and here recent developments have been somewhat more encouraging than might have been expected,” he said.

“Part of the explanation for why unemployment has not risen to the levels implied by the recession’s depth is that in many cases employers have opted to reduce working hours and pay rather than make employees redundant.

“Even though workers who have been forced from full-time employment into part-time work will have experienced a reduction in income, the impact has been less severe than it would have been if they had lost their jobs completely.”

This, coupled with low mortgage rates, meant that fewer people than expected were forced into selling their homes which in turn kept house prices steady.

Lenders’ trend

There has been a further easing of mortgage rationing in the last month, according to the financial information service Moneyfacts.

 

Lenders have adjusted to the post-banking crisis world and are starting to relax their lending criteria
Michelle Slade, Moneyfacts

The number of mortgage deals on offer rose by 5% to 1,425 - the largest number since December last year.

The proportion of those requiring a deposit of between 0% and 15% of a property’s value rose from 25% of the total at the start of November to 27% at the beginning of December.

And the proportion of deals needing a 20% downpayment rose from 9% to 11%.

But there was a fall in the proportion of mortgages needing a down payment of 25% or more. They fell from 66% of the total to 62%.

“Lenders have adjusted to the post-banking crisis world and are starting to relax their lending criteria,” said Michelle Slade, of Moneyfacts.

“In the last month, we have seen lenders increasing the LTVs [loan-to-value] that their existing deals are available to or launching new deals at higher LTVs.

“Significant increases are being seen in the number of deals available for borrowers with a 10% or 15% deposit. Many house price indices are now reporting a rise in house prices, meaning that the risk of higher LTV loans has lessened.”

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8387203.stm

Property Experts Demand Change on Stamp Duty

November 26th, 2009

Property Experts Demand Change on Stamp Duty
Led by NAEA and ARLA, and supported by a number of other leading bodies, the 1808 Coalition received superb coverage during the first week of its launch. The press release is set out below. We have followed this press release up with letters to the Treasury and will shortly be launching Phase 2 of the Campaign. I would encourage members to get behind this by signing up via the link below and by asking their clients and friends to do likewise.

The recent success in the USA of the Realtors Campaign to extend their First Time Buyer Tax Credit shows the potential power of members, so please join in.

PRESS RELEASE 
Industry heavyweights have added their support to the 1808 Coalition, set up by the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Association of Residential Lettings Agents (ARLA) to campaign for the Government to modernise Stamp Duty.


1808 Coalition partners are:


• Association of Mortgage Intermediaries (AMI)


• Association of Residential Lettings Agents (ARLA)


• Building Societies Association (BSA)


• Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML)


• Home Builders Federation (HBF)


• National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA)


• National Landlords Association (NLA)


Peter Bolton-King, Chief Executive of the NAEA, said: “The Coalition believes that Stamp Duty is an anachronistic tax which, in its current form, is preventing a recovery in the housing sector – it limits market flexibility, creates regional inequality and its slab structure unfairly distorts the housing market. With the Pre Budget Report due soon, now is the time for the Government to take action.”

The current Stamp Duty “holiday” for properties lower than £175.000 is due to expire at the start of 2010 but in a recent survey by the NAEA, 91 per cent of estate agents surveyed felt that it should be extended. 86 per cent of those surveyed felt that the tax is unfair.

Ian Potter, Operations Manager of ARLA said: “Not only does Stamp Duty prevent those aspiring to own a home from doing so, it also impacts the whole property chain. For ARLA members, this means having to pay Stamp Duty on the bulk price of a portfolio, when individual buy-to-let investors pay a lower rate on the single unit price.”


Robert Sinclair, Director of the AMI, said: “It is rare that the breadth of our industry comes together with such consensus on an issue. But the current Stamp Duty regime is distorting the market to such an extent that we feel compelled to speak out. The Association of Mortgage Intermediaries is fully committed to supporting this industry campaign to reform the regime. We implore the Government to not only listen but, to act in support of our request for change to this damaging tax.”


John Stewart, HBF’s Director of Economic Affairs, said: “It is imperative that the first signs of market stabilisation that have emerged in recent months, and which have allowed home builders to begin tentatively opening new sites and expanding output and employment, are nurtured. The Government’s stimulus measures for housing, including the raised stamp duty threshold, have played a significant part in this stabilisation and it is vital that they are not removed at this still fragile stage, either in total or in part.”


Adrian Coles, Director General, BSA, said: “The current Stamp Duty system in the UK is archaic and in desperate need of reform and modernisation. A fairer and transparent system is needed that doesn’t discriminate against young and first time home buyers, and promotes an effective housing market.”


Michael Coogan, Director General, CML, said: “We urge the government to announce a comprehensive and long-overdue review of Stamp Duty. Reform is needed of a tax that distorts the housing market.”


David Salusbury, Chairman, NLA, said: “Stamp Duty Land Tax is a pernicious tax which has failed to keep pace with house price appreciation. It creates an unbalanced housing market and discourages investment in housing. Reform is needed now.”


Anyone wishing to register comments on the campaign, or on Stamp Duty, should visit: www.naea.co.uk/1808 or www.arla.co.uk/1808 or  http://www.nfopp.co.uk/1808

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September 25th, 2009

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More surveyors report price rises

September 25th, 2009

More surveyors said UK house prices were rising in the three months to September than those reporting falling property values.

The proportion turned positive for the first time for two years, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (Rics) survey found.

The change was driven by price rises in the South East of England and shortages of homes for sale.

The government’s own figures showed a 1.4% rise in prices from June to July.

“Although it is clear that house prices are now rising, it continues to be a lack of supply that is underpinning the recovery in most parts of the country,” said Rics spokesman Jeremy Leaf.

He said that more sellers were considering putting their properties on the market but this could “present a challenge” to rising house prices when interest rates increased.

‘More sales’

The National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said that first-time buyers had returned to the market, followed by home movers.

 

Buyers are chasing homes that they thought they would have time to consider at a gentler pace
Surveyor Robert Green

Families wishing to upgrade or young couples needing a bigger house to raise a family were active in the market again, according to NAEA president Gary Smith.

This was backed up by the Rics survey which showed that more surveyors were reporting enquiries from new buyers.

The actual number of sales was also up - with surveyors selling an average of 17 each in the last three months. This was the most since May 2008 but still a third down on the position at the beginning of 2008.

Sales were highest per surveyor in the East Midlands and West Midlands, with the lowest number of sales per surveyor reported in London.

‘False dawn’

Surveyors revealed a general view that demand for homes was not matched by the number coming onto the market, and this lack of supply was the reason prices were rising.

 

ANNUAL HOUSE PRICE FALLS
Scotland: 4.4% (average home cost £159,725)
Wales: 6.4% (average home cost £150,753)
England: 8.4% (average home cost £202,154)
Northern Ireland: 22.2% (average home cost £174,834)
Source: DCLG figures for July

Robert Green, of John D Wood and Co in Oxford, said: “The low volume of stock is keeping the market buoyant and buyers are chasing homes that they thought they would have time to consider at a gentler pace.

Separate figures released by the Department of Communities and Local Government (DCLG) showed that UK house prices were 1.4% higher in July than in June, but still 8.3% lower than in July 2008.

The quarter-on-quarter change, a less volatile measure than monthly changes, showed that prices rose by 2.1% - a shift from falling values of 2.8% seen in the quarter to the end of April. The average UK home cost £196,338 by July.

Year-on-year prices fell by 4.4% in Scotland in July, they were down 6.4% in Wales, fell 8.4% in England, and were down 22.2% in Northern Ireland.

In the English regions, the annual fall in prices ranged from a 6.8% fall in Yorkshire and the Humber to a 9.6% drop in the East of England.

Earlier in the week, the economic forecasting group The Ernst & Young Item Club said that the recent rise in UK house prices was a “false dawn”.

Repossessions drop

Separately, the Financial Services Authority (FSA) published figures confirming that there was a fall in repossessions in the second quarter of the year.

The number of loans subject to a repossession dropped by 9% from the first three months of the year to 13,610.

In August, the Council of Mortgage Lenders reported a 10% fall over the same period.

The FSA said the number of new mortgage accounts moving into arrears, defined as being behind by at least 1.5% or more of the mortgage loan, dropped for the second quarter in a row, down by 14% from the first quarter to 51,000 new arrears cases.

However this did not stop the total stock of arrears cases continuing to grow, albeit more slowly.

This total now stands at 403,000, 1% higher than in the first three months of the year, though still 30% higher than a year ago.

The FSA commented that low interest rates were slowing down the slide of more borrowers into arrears, but people already behind with their payments were still struggling to pay off their backlog of mortgage repayments.

“Publicity around the government schemes and greater lender forbearance is encouraging borrowers to contact their lender earlier,” said the Building Societies Association.

“The BSA research shows that where this happens the overwhelming majority of borrowers are able to keep their homes and successfully overcome their arrears problems.”

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8256653.stm

Consumers show confidence over prices — survey

September 25th, 2009

MORE than three quarters of consumers are confident that UK house prices won’t fall any further this year.

That is the key finding of the latest consumer confidence survey from Rightnove and is in sharp contrast to the same survey carried out in January, which revealed that around two-thirds of people felt that house prices would be lower in the following 12 months.

Rightmove, the leading property website, say they feel that such a u-turn in public sentiment provides a strong indication that confidence is returning within the UK housing market.

A series of recent reports have been equally optimistic as to the market’s recovery, including Rightmove’s own House Price Index which shows an increase in average prices so far this year, and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors readjusting its price forecasts.

Rightmove point out that their survey provides evidence that such positivity is being reflected among the public at large, with the survey measuring a large sample size of respondents across all adult age groups and regions of the UK.

Commercial director Miles Shipside said: “With increasingly positive public sentiment supported by encouraging recent market reports, the UK property industry is now seeing a virtuous circle of confidence building upon confidence.

“This vote of confidence has positive and negative connotations. The sentiment of future buyers is a pre-cursor to a speedier recovery in depressed transaction levels.

“However, it is also a signal that some of them will be willing to pay a bit more. This will give encouragement to many existing homeowners with borderline equity, but cause concern to a potential buyer hoping their own mortgage ability improves before any significant price uplift.”

Source: http://www.estateagencynews.co.uk/news/news-0909d.asp

More Grounds For Optimism

August 21st, 2009

NAEA report an upsurge in activity as four homehunters chase every property

THINGS are looking up — at least according to a survey of National Association of Estate Agents members who say there are grounds for optimism after the crippling slump in the market.

A third of agents who took part in the NAEA survey said they have seen around a 10 per cent increase in properties coming onto the market, compared to six months ago — and one in six agents reported an increase of up to 20 per cent.

Now, the Government needs to press the banks and building societies to do all they can to aid the recovery, according to NAEA president Gary Smith.

He said: “Since the beginning of the year, NAEA members have seen a significant increase in demand. There are clearly plenty of buyers out there, but the vast majority of those buyers also become sellers and up-to-date figures show that as the buyers decide on a property the supply of housing will increase.

“It is another positive indication that the UK housing market is over the worst and the NAEA calls on the Government to further badger banks and building societies to respond to the opportunity to pull the situation around.”

The NAEA’s latest monthly survey of their members showed that demand is outstripping supply across the UK housing market, with agents registering an average four househunters to every available property.

The survey found that the average branch had 299 househunters on its books in May – up from 265 the previous month and 247 in May 2008. The average branch had 69 properties on its books.

For the second month running estate agents also reported a successful selling period. The average branch sold 10 properties — a 30 per cent increase on the same time last year and double that sold on average in August 2008.

Mr Smith added: “This is really good news for the housing market and the UK economy in general.

“NAEA members are showing that there are buyers a-plenty out there. More often than not these are also potential sellers who are at the beginning of the process – so there is bound to be a lag which creates a shortage of properties in the short term.

“With mortgage interest rates at historically low levels and prices now far more realistic than in previous years, home ownership in the UK seems to be set to lead the way out of the recession.”

Source: http://www.estateagencynews.co.uk/news/news-0709a.asp

Mortgage lending still picking up

July 10th, 2009

Mortgage lending to house buyers picked up again in May, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

The number of home loans for house buyers rose by 4% in the month to 37,400, although that was still 28% lower than a year ago.

First-time buyers are still having to put down an average deposit worth 25% of their home’s value.

But the CML said 80% of first-time buyers under the age of 30 were receiving finance from their parents.

“The bank of mum and dad remains an apparently important source of help for young first-time buyers,” said CML economist Paul Samter.

“Some mortgage products specifically reflect this fact, and again we may begin to see more products that echo this phenomenon,” he added.

Rationing

The past year and a half has seen a dramatic rationing of mortgages by lenders, in response to the shortage of funds sparked by the banking crisis.

However, the CML predicted that lenders might become slightly more relaxed in the coming months.

“We might expect to see a modest easing over the summer, as some higher loan-to-value products came onto the market in recent months,” the CML said.

“Lenders reported that they intend to increase lending at higher loan-to-value ratios in the Bank of England’s recent Credit Conditions survey.”

Nearly three-quarters of all new mortgages are being taken out at fixed rates, the highest proportion since August 2007.

The CML said borrowers were protecting themselves against possible interest rate increases in the future.

With mortgage approvals still rising, the number of loans granted, and completed sales, are all likely to stay on their upward trend over the summer.

 

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8141886.stm

House prices ‘rose 0.9% in June’

June 30th, 2009

 

UK house prices rose by 0.9% in June, according to the latest survey from the Nationwide building society.

It said this was the third rise in the past four months, and shrank the annual rate of decline to just 9.3%, from 11.3% in May.

The increase in prices during the past month means the average home now costs £156,442, which is £15,973 less than a year ago.

The Nationwide said the stabilisation of prices was a “welcome surprise”.

Since their recent low point in February, of £147,746, average UK house prices as measured by the Nationwide have now risen by £8,696.

“House prices have now risen in three of the last four months, suggesting that the improvement that began to show up in March represents more than just statistical noise,” said the Nationwide’s economist Martin Gahbauer.

“What is unusual about the recent trend reversal, however, is that it has taken place against a background of transactions activity that is still very low by historical standards,” he added.

‘Stark shift’

The Nationwide said the best measure of short-term trends was to compare the average price for the past three months with that for the previous three.

 

 

 

On that basis, prices were now 0.9% higher, the first time they have been on an upward trend since December 2007.

The building society said that if this pattern continued then this year would end with prices down by only “small single digits”.

“This would represent a stark shift from trends seen at the turn of the year, when most indicators were pointing to a repeat of the large declines seen in 2008,” it said.

Although there has been no let up in rationing of loans by mortgage lenders, the building society said potential sellers, and builders, were putting very few properties up for sale, which was bringing some equilibrium to prices.

But it warned against interpreting its latest data as the beginning of a sustained recovery in prices.

Abnormally low supply levels would not last for ever, it warned.

“[The] increase in the enquiry pipeline has not yet led to large increases in transaction volumes, because credit criteria remain significantly more restrictive than in the years leading up to the downturn,” said Mr Gahbauer.

“Rising unemployment and associated job insecurity are also limiting the extent to which enquiries can translate into actual transactions,” he added.

Upturn?

Last week, HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) reported that completed house sales in the UK had risen again in May, to their highest level since last October.

And on Monday, the Bank of England reported that the number of mortgages approved by lenders, but not yet lent, had risen for the fourth month in a row in May.

This suggests that the revival in buying and selling seen this spring may continue into the summer.

“Nationwide house price data provides further evidence that the residential property market appears to have found a floor, at least for the time being,” said Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors.

 

Another Sign of a Changing Market from Nationwide

May 29th, 2009

*** STRICTLY EMBARGOED UNTIL 7.00AM FRIDAY 29TH MAY 2009 ***
House prices rise for second time in three months  

House prices rose by 1.2% in May

Annual rate of decline improves sharply from -15.0% to -11.3%

Low supply levels may explain some of the improvement in price trends.

Commenting on the figures Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide’s Chief Economist, said:

 “The price of a typical house rose by 1.2% in May, providing further evidence of some improvement in housing market conditions over the last few months. At £154,016, the average house price is still 11.3% lower than a year ago, although this marks a significant improvement from the annual decline of 15.0% recorded in April. The 3 month on 3 month rate of change – a smoother indicator of short-term price trends – rose from -3.0% in April to -0.5% in May and now stands at its highest level since January 2008.

“Although the short-term trend in house prices has clearly improved from where it was at the beginning of the year, it is still too early to say that the market is turning definitively. During the downturn of the early 1990s, there were many months during which prices rose, only to fall back down again in subsequent periods. In the current downturn, the combination of rapidly rising unemployment and tight access to credit implies that the last of the price declines has probably not been seen yet. Nonetheless, the improvement in house price trends is consistent with signs of stabilisation in several other economic indicators and suggests that any further price declines may occur at a less rapid pace than in 2008. 

 

Supply dynamics may explain some of the recent improvement in house price trends “The movement of house prices ultimately depends on the balance of demand and supply of houses on the market. One timely indicator of the supply-demand balance is the ratio of sales to unsold stock, published monthly by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. For most of 2008, this measure was on a steady declining trend, consistent with the acceleration of house price falls as the year progressed. Although it remains at a very low level by historical standards and continues to point to further house price declines, the ratio has recently stabilised somewhat and this probably explains some of the improvement in price trends over the last few months.

“It is not yet certain, however, whether the sales-to-stock ratio will rise on a more sustained basis over the coming months. House sales still remain close to record lows, so that the improvement in the supply-demand balance is so far mostly attributable to a decline in the stock of property on estate agents’ books. There are several possible reasons why stock levels are falling. First, the rate at which additional property is coming onto the market could be lower than the rate of sales. This may be the case if many potential sellers are holding back from putting their homes on the market for fear of not being able to obtain their desired price in the current economic conditions, or if few new homes are being built. The latter is certainly the case, as builders have retrenched and housing starts have reached all-time record lows. Second, unsold stock levels could fall if existing sellers give up and withdraw their properties from the sales market, either by letting them out or choosing not to move for the time being.

 

Recent anecdotal evidence suggests that there has been a large rise in sellers choosing to let their properties instead of holding out for a buyer, which could explain at least part of the fall in stock levels. “While supply dynamics in the market have all been exerting downward pressure on stock levels, there are reasons to believe that this trend is unlikely to continue in the long run. Potential sellers of existing homes who had previously delayed the listing of their property may not be able to wait indefinitely, particularly if they have seen a loss of income due to the deteriorating labour market situation.

 

The recent widely reported increases in new buyer enquires may also encourage more of these reluctant sellers to test the market in the coming months. Moreover, the surge in “reluctant landlords” has increased the supply of property in the rental market and pushed down on surveyors’ expectations of achievable rents, making it more difficult for existing sellers to pursue the option of letting their properties out if they can’t sell. Trends in the rental market and their potential impact on supply levels in the sales market will, therefore, be worth watching closely.

“If the supply of homes onto the market does increase, the recent moderation in the pace of house price falls may not be sustained. However, the ultimate outcome for prices depends as much on the development of demand as it does on supply dynamics. Survey evidence suggests that buyer interest has picked up strongly in response to lower prices and lower interest rates. If this buyer interest translates into actual sales and outweighs any potential increases in supply, then the recent moderation in price falls may continue. For the moment, however, it is unclear how the balance between supply and demand will ultimately work through in the coming months.”

 

 

 

martin.gahbauer@nationwide.co.uk roy.beale@nationwide.co.uk

 

 

 

 

 

Letting instructions and rent expectations

 

 

Notes:

Indices and average prices are produced using Nationwide’s updated mix adjusted House Price Methodology which was introduced with effect from the first quarter of 1995. Price indices are seasonally adjusted using the US Bureau of the Census X12 method. Currently the calculations are based on a monthly data series starting from January 1991. Figures are recalculated each month which may result in revisions to historical data.

The Nationwide Monthly House Price Index is prepared from information which we believe is collated with care, but no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness. We reserve the right to vary our methodology and to edit or discontinue the whole or any part of the Index at any time, for regulatory or other reasons. Persons seeking to place reliance on the Index for their own or third party commercial purposes do so entirely at their own risk. All changes are nominal and do not allow for inflation.

 
 

 

 

More information on the house price index methodology along with time series data and archives of housing research can be found at 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

www.nationwide.co.uk/hpi